Match detail

Belgium vs Egypt

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Match summary

Belgium

Egypt

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice1.82

Asian Handicap: Egypt +1

Probability

58%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Jun 15, 2026, 8:15 PM GMT+2

Kickoff

Jun 15, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2

Last update

Jun 15, 2026, 11:12 PM GMT+2

Result

WIN

What shaped the view

Opening Group G match with both teams on 0 points; Egypt benefit strongly from avoiding defeat against the top seed, while Belgium should push for the win but do not need a goal-difference chase yet.
Belgium have strong control and creation through Onana/Tielemans, De Bruyne, Doku and Trossard, but Egypt’s XI keeps Salah and Marmoush together for transition threat, with enough bench attacking/defensive options to manage game state.
Away +1 at 1.82 is preferred over Belgium -1 at 2.00 because the same line gives Egypt protection against a one-goal Belgium win, while a two-goal Belgium margin is less clean with Egypt’s counter threat and Matchday 1 incentives.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Egypt +1 has the cleaner edge: Belgium are the stronger side, but their -1 needs a two-goal regulation win for full payout and is exposed to Salah/Marmoush transitions plus a compact Egypt setup. With no Matchday 3 margin pressure and Egypt likely valuing a draw or narrow defeat avoidance, the handicap protection is more attractive than chasing Belgium’s margin.

Main risk

Tactical Counter: Belgium’s creative starters and late bench power, especially Lukaku as a direct finisher, can turn territorial control into a multi-goal win if Egypt concede first and must open up.

Update timeline